|
Service *
Our Moneyflow OTC (MOTC)
system is used by investors in managed U.S. stock funds
that track with the NASDAQ Composite Index . Since 1995, the
system's buy and sell signals have been especially valuable for
banking gains and reducing risk in retirement accounts. The
importance of moving assets to the safety of money market funds
during several bearish periods is dramatically proven by a simple
fact. The NASDAQ Composite -- the most representative
index of U.S. stock fund performance -- was down 56% on the eighth
anniversary of its all time high.
Our Moneyflow NDX (MNDX)
system is used for
trading NASDAQ 100 index funds.
Buy and sell signals are
defined by percentage readings on a variety of price trend and
momentum formulas. "Sell" means move to the safety of a money
market fund because risk of holding stock funds has become very
high.
A $40 trial subscription brings you our
weekly e-mailed newsletter and use of our two systems on your home PC for a
six month trial period.
(Microsoft Excel for PC or Mac required for our computerized
programs.)
Performance **
In 12.7 years of service, we
handily disproved the lie, "You can't time the market." The
NASDAQ Composite gained 143%. By using our MOTC system's typical buy and sell
signals -- e-mailed to subscribers -- the profit
was nearly doubled to 281%.
By our count, The Hulbert
Financial Digest has tracked 108 market timing systems for the
all important 10 year evaluation period. Only 19 beat the
benchmark index when timing was applied. For the years 1998
through 2007, the NASDAQ Composite average annualized gain has been
6.81%. Like the top 10% of Hulbert's best performing systems,
we beat our benchmark index by far with an annualized average return
of 9.53%. *
|
Recent Signals
MOTC Buy March 24. MNDX Buy April 18.
Signal status is updated here weeks after subscribers
are notified.
~
Systems ~ Performance ~ Strategy~
NASDAQ Composite
Market Timing by Trend I.D.
NASDAQ 100 Market
Timing by Trend I.D.
Article:
The
Why? and How? of It
Free e-book:
Market Based Mutual
Fund Investing
Subscription Options |
|
* We define money flow
in terms of price (only): Price change, momentum, range and
volatility, for example. For simplicity sake, we refer to all
such formulas as trend identifiers. We agree with Michael
Covel that price is the basis for Trend Following.
However, we seem to disagree with him due to learning that:
1) Massaging price with sophisticated formulas is a way to
increase gains while reducing risk; 2) Since investment
vehicles have different, long recognized volatility personalities,
we should not expect the same price parameters to apply to all
investments or indexes; 3) Our composite moneyflow systems
-- by being optimized for efficiency under a variety of market
conditions -- do NOT deserve the pejorative label, "over-optimized";
and 4) Asking investors to trust portfolio management tools
which require us to endure agonizing drops in values, regardless of
eventual recoveries, is an unrealistic expectation and a disservice. ** Our model
portfolio performance tests are done with ULTRA Financial Systems
software with "next day" pricing and interest calculated at the
Commercial Paper rate when in cash positions. (See "Details"
links.) |
